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Kazakhstan, anticipation

Agency for Strategic Planning, merged into a ministry in 2002

Kazakhstan's President created an Agency for Strategic Planning directly subordinate to him by Decree No. 3377 of 4 March 1997; parliament appropriated KZT 29,040 thousand to it for 2002, including a programme to monitor geopolitical and geo-economic processes and assess their effect on the country's development prospects, and Decree No. 931 of 28 August 2002 then merged the agency into the Ministry of Economy and Budget Planning.

Kazakhstansince 1997delivered and closedbears on Government foresight capacity

29,040 thousand tenge, republican budget appropriation to administrator 604, agency for strategic planning of the republic of kazakhstan, 2002 (budget law). Parliament of the Republic of Kazakhstan, Law No. 273-II of 15 December 2001 on the republican budget for 2002, annex on expenditure by administrator and programme, via the zakon.uchet.kz legal database, retrieved 2026-10-17.

The move, and what it needed

The President set up a strategic planning agency reporting to him and outside the cabinet, then a later administrative reform folded it into a merged economy and budget ministry, which put long-range planning under the body that writes the annual budget.

Preconditions

  • A presidential system in which agencies are created and merged by decree, with no statute to repeal
  • A government reform programme that counted separate agencies as overhead and merged them into larger ministries
  • A receiving ministry able to absorb planning tasks, so the closure left no visible gap in the budget law

Where else it has been used: Poland's strategic studies centre (pol-rcss) was folded into the Chancellery and a line ministry in 2006 on the same consolidation logic; Kazakhstan, unlike Poland, recreated a presidential planning agency in 2020.

Limits: The figure is an appropriation in the budget law, not an outturn, and the agency was merged before the year ended, so it did not spend the full year as a separate body. The text was read on zakon.uchet.kz, a private mirror of the official adilet.zan.kz database, because adilet renders acts only with JavaScript; the mirror shows the law's current edition, which may carry amendments made during 2002. Of the KZT 29,040 thousand, 22,940 thousand was administrative cost, and only 1,200 thousand went to the programme on world geopolitical and geo-economic processes, the line closest to foresight; the rest funded energy-sector planning, public administration recommendations and a demographic information system. The agency was a planning body, closer to development planning than to scenario-based foresight. Its name and form changed between 1997 and 2002: a 1998 decree (No. 3958) reorganised the then Agency for Strategic Planning and Reforms by dividing it, and describes it as a central executive body outside the government, so the 2002 body was smaller than the 1997 one, and this record does not measure by how much. Decree No. 931 merged the agency rather than abolishing its tasks, so planning work moved to a line ministry, and in 2020 the President created a new Agency for Strategic Planning and Reforms whose regulations list strategic forecasting (zakon.uchet.kz, Decree No. 427 of 5 October 2020, https://zakon.uchet.kz/rus/docs/U2000000427). What ended in 2002 is a dedicated agency with its own budget administrator code, not the planning function, and the function returned 18 years later.

This record describes what Kazakhstan delivered. It is linked to Government foresight capacity because no comparable dataset measures that capability. It does not affect the score or confidence.

More from Kazakhstan

7 other deliveries from this country.

  • South-West Roads: Western Europe-Western China corridor (CAREC 1b and 6b)

    Kazakhstan's Committee for Roads upgraded 1,281 km of the Western Europe-Western China corridor and connecting roads under a US$2.5 billion programme between 2009 and 2024, for an actual cost of US$2,468.6 million against US$2,500 million appraised, but over 15 years against a planned four and a half.

  • AFSA FinTech Lab at the Astana International Financial Centre

    The Astana Financial Services Authority granted five FinTech Lab sandbox licences in 2022, saw the first participant graduate to a full licence that year, and had 18 licensed firms in its sandbox at the end of 2022.

  • Innovation Consortia Matching Grant Program (Fostering Productive Innovation Project)

    Kazakhstan's innovation ministry (MDDIAI), through the Innovation Consortia Matching Grant Program of the World Bank financed Fostering Productive Innovation Project, had supported 33 technology consortia of research teams and firms, including 12 competence centres, by September 2024, whose first sales and signed contracts totalled about 17 billion tenge.

  • KZT 42,500 income-loss payment during the 2020 state of emergency

    During the March to May 2020 state of emergency, Kazakhstan's government paid people who lost income because of business closures and lockdown KZT 42,500 per person per month, and about 4 million people received the payment.

  • National and local PPP and concession contracts

    By the end of 2025 Kazakhstan's central and local governments had signed 1,257 PPP and concession contracts worth 3.6 trillion tenge, of which 697 were in implementation, 1,240 were local projects mostly in social services, health, education, energy and utilities, and 17 national projects accounted for more than 1.8 trillion tenge.

  • Response and housing recovery after the spring 2024 floods

    Kazakhstan's government reported that during the spring 2024 floods, which it called the largest in 80 years, more than 120,000 people were rescued and placed in temporary accommodation centres, and that by December 2024 it had bought 5,767 homes, fully repaired 9,156 and built 2,680 new houses for owners of the 19,359 flooded homes inspected, while 36,455 families received one-off assistance.

  • Skills Enbek online vocational training platform

    Kazakhstan's Ministry of Labour and Social Protection runs the Skills Enbek online training platform, on which 107,900 citizens, about 52,400 of them unemployed, earned course certificates in 2024, and 410,900 people had completed training since the platform opened.

Every delivery from Kazakhstan

The same indicator elsewhere

35 deliveries linked to Government foresight capacity in other countries.

  • Embrapa, a fifty-year bet on tropical agriculture

    Brazil created a public agricultural research corporation in 1973 to make acidic tropical soils productive, kept it funded across every change of government since, and cereal production rose from 46.5 million tonnes in 2000 to 155.9 million in 2023.

  • The Delta Programme and its fund

    The Netherlands legislated a standing programme against flooding and fresh-water shortage, run by an independent Delta Commissioner and paid from a dedicated Delta Fund that expects 27.4 billion euros to be available through 2050.

  • CGEE, the strategic studies center

    Created in 2001, the Centro de Gestão e Estudos Estratégicos was designed to produce prospective studies and long-term recommendations for Brazilian science, technology and innovation policy, with 273 researchers and specialists signing its creation record.

  • Centre for Strategic Futures, foresight inside government

    Singapore established the Centre for Strategic Futures in 2009 inside the Prime Minister's Office strategy system to study blind spots, run long-term futures research and develop foresight methods.

  • Legally binding carbon budgets

    The United Kingdom's 2008 Climate Change Act made five-year emissions budgets a standing legal cycle set twelve years ahead, and by July 2026 seven budgets covered 2008 through 2042 while the first three had been met.

  • Fukushima decommissioning roadmap, a 30–40-year risk-reduction horizon

    After the 2011 Fukushima Daiichi accident, Japan adopted a government-led mid-and-long-term decommissioning roadmap and set completion at roughly 30–40 years after cold shutdown, treating the work as continuous risk reduction rather than a one-off rebuild.

  • PLANAPP and REPLAN, a centre-of-government foresight network

    Portugal's PLANAPP operates as a Centre of Government body for evidence-based foresight, planning, monitoring, evaluation and impact analysis; its REPLAN network lists five multisectoral team remits and held its inaugural meeting on 23 November 2022.

  • Labour Market Intelligence Programme and forward skills planning

    South Africa's Department of Higher Education and Training ran a Labour Market Intelligence Programme from 2012, published the fifth iteration of its national occupations-in-high-demand list by April 2024, and identified 138 occupations for the emerging hydrogen-economy value chain.

  • Government Report on the Future and the parliamentary Committee for the Future

    Every Finnish government since 1993 has submitted a Report on the Future to Parliament, answered by a standing Committee for the Future; Part I of the Orpo government's report, a 20-year scenario process prepared jointly by all ministries and informed by 40 dialogues on Finland's future, was submitted on 18 September 2025.

  • Foresight Centre at the Riigikogu (Arenguseire Keskus)

    Estonia's parliament set up a statutory Foresight Centre within the Chancellery of the Riigikogu under the Foresight Act of 2016. In 2025 the centre published four research-direction reports and 17 short reports, drawing on more than 30 researchers and experts.

  • Office of Technology Assessment, defunded and closed in 1995

    Congress gave the Office of Technology Assessment, created under the Technology Assessment Act of 1972, the statutory function to provide early indications of the probable impacts of technology; it appropriated $21,970,000 for the office with a cap of 143 staff for fiscal year 1995, then appropriated $3,615,000 for fiscal year 1996 to carry out its orderly closure, with no more than 17 employees paid except for severance.

  • Rządowe Centrum Studiów Strategicznych, liquidated in 2006

    Poland's Government Centre for Strategic Studies, attached to the Prime Minister, with tasks of strategic programming and forecasting of economic and social development set in article 14k of the Act of 8 August 1996 on the Council of Ministers, was liquidated as of 31 March 2006 by the Act of 17 February 2006, in the year its budget had been planned at PLN 10,016 thousand.

  • Office of Technology Assessment at the German Bundestag (TAB)

    Since 1990 the German Bundestag has kept an Office of Technology Assessment, run under contract by the Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, whose tasks include horizon scanning of scientific and technological trends at early stages; by 2026 it reported more than 200 projects and over 400 publications.

  • National Assembly Futures Institute

    Korea's National Assembly enacted the National Assembly Future Institute Act on 12 December 2017 and opened the institute on 28 May 2018 with a statutory duty to predict and analyse changes in the future environment and derive mid to long term national development strategies; its English-language research report archive listed 203 reports in 2026.

  • Federal Chancellery situation and environment analysis (Perspektivstab)

    Switzerland's Federal Chancellery runs a long-term, continuous situation and environment analysis for the Federal Council that looks 10 to 15 years ahead; it produced Herausforderungen in 2007 with expertise from 30 federal offices, Perspektiven 2025 in 2011, Perspektiven 2030 in 2014, the Schweiz 2030 and Schweiz 2035 reports and the scenario report Perspektiven Schweiz 2040, which feed the Federal Council's legislature planning.

  • Senate foresight delegation (Délégation sénatoriale à la prospective)

    The Bureau of the French Senate created a foresight delegation in April 2009, succeeding the planning delegation set up by the 1982 planning reform law, with a mandate to study changes in society and the economy and to build scenarios; it has 36 senators appointed in proportion to the political groups and adopted reports in every year from 2010 to 2022 listed on its page.

  • Senate Commission on Future Challenges, Science, Technology and Innovation

    Chile's Senate created the Commission on Future Challenges, Science, Technology and Innovation in April 2012, modelled on Finland's Committee for the Future, with the Academy of Sciences, National Prize winners and university rectors as permanent members; by July 2024 more than 700 scientists had worked in more than 20 of its expert tables.

  • Policy Horizons Canada, the federal foresight unit, and its 2024 disruption scan

    Policy Horizons Canada, which describes itself as the Government of Canada's centre of excellence in foresight and reports through the Deputy Minister of Employment and Social Development Canada, published Disruptions on the Horizon 2024, which identified and assessed 35 possible disruptions using survey input from around 500 stakeholders, colleagues and foresight experts across the Government of Canada and beyond.

  • Framtidskommissionen, the Prime Minister's time-limited future commission

    The Swedish government appointed Framtidskommissionen, chaired by Prime Minister Fredrik Reinfeldt, in November 2011 to identify the societal challenges Sweden faces in the longer term, and by its final report in March 2013 it had held eight meetings, organised 40 open meetings, seminars and workshops, published twelve background reports and an anthology, and carried out four sub-inquiries.

  • National Planning Commission foresight work for Malawi 2063

    Malawi's National Planning Commission, which signed a UNDP initiation plan in November 2020 to create a foresight unit and horizon scanning capability, reported for 2022/23 that it produced a foresight modelling report with modelled scenarios for the Malawi 2063 vision, policy briefs on three of the vision's pillars with UNDP and the finance ministry, and foresight modelling training for planners from ministries and academia.

  • Bureau National de la Prospective et de la Veille Stratégique and the national prospective studies

    Côte d'Ivoire's Ministry of Planning and Development completed its fourth national prospective study, Côte d'Ivoire 2040, under the technical responsibility of the Bureau National de la Prospective et de la Veille Stratégique, after earlier national studies in 1973 to 1974, 1983 to 1984 and 1993 to 1995, and built eighteen thematic and three global scenarios to the 2040 horizon.

  • Teknologiraadet, the Norwegian Board of Technology

    Norway's Board of Technology, an independent public advisory body created in 1999 on the Storting's initiative that also serves as secretariat for the Storting's technology group, delivered eight publications and held eleven meetings, four of them for the Storting's technology group, in 2025 on operating income of NOK 13.8 million.

  • Teknologiraadet, the Danish Board of Technology, abolished in 2012

    Denmark's parliament abolished the statutory Board of Technology, set up by Act no. 375 of 14 June 1995 to assess technology and report to the Folketing, by Act no. 559 of 18 June 2012, after an all-party budget agreement of 15 November 2011 withdrew its annual grant, which had been DKK 10.5 million in 2011, to fund the research reserve.

  • Bureau federal du Plan

    Belgium's Federal Planning Bureau, which produces the government's economic forecasts and long-term demographic, ageing, energy and transport outlooks, published 34 publications in 2025 and employed 91 full-time equivalents at the end of the year, down from 96 at the end of 2023, after it stopped replacing departing staff in 2024 to meet savings targets.

  • Special Secretariat of Foresight (now of Long-term Planning)

    Greece's Special Secretariat of Foresight published its Megatrends 2040 report and seven megatrend notes in February and March 2022 and then six further foresight studies to September 2026, including Generative AI Greece 2030 (January 2024), The Future of Work and Skills in Greece (February 2025) and Mediterranean Foresight (September 2026).

  • STRATA foresight for the Lietuva 2050 state progress strategy

    Lithuania's Government Strategic Analysis Center (STRATA) followed six thematic public discussions on the country's future in May and June 2022 with nine foresight studies on megatrends and scenarios by policy area, which fed the vision and strategic ambitions of the draft state progress strategy Lietuva 2050.

  • Institut Royal des Etudes Stratégiques (IRES)

    Morocco's Royal Institute for Strategic Studies, announced in the 2003 Throne Speech to strengthen the country's capacities for analysis, adaptation and anticipation and created by Dahir No 1-07-183 of 30 November 2007, published the twelfth edition of its strategic dashboard on Morocco's international positioning on 28 November 2024 and was still issuing general reports in 2025.

  • Long-term Insights Briefings under the Public Service Act 2020

    New Zealand's Public Service Act 2020 required every departmental chief executive to publish a Long-term Insights Briefing on future trends, risks and opportunities at least once every three years, and nineteen were published in the first round, which concluded in mid-2023, four of them produced jointly by several agencies.

  • Foresight und Technikfolgenabschätzung für das österreichische Parlament

    Austria's parliament has bought external foresight and technology assessment since July 2017, after the Presidial Conference agreed unanimously in October 2016 to provide EUR 200,000 a year; the service delivers a half-yearly monitoring of future topics, survived a Europe-wide re-tender in 2022, and parliament commissioned six studies from it between 2019 and 2026.

  • Latvija 2050 long-term scenario framework for the State Chancellery

    Latvia's State Chancellery commissioned the University of Latvia under contract 2024/065 of 5 November 2024 to build the analytical framework for the Latvija 2050 strategy; the study, delivered in 2026, set out three macroeconomic development scenarios to 2050 and drew on a Kantar survey in December 2024 and expert focus groups in four regions in September and October 2025.

  • Natsionalnyi instytut stratehichnykh doslidzhen, and its falling staff ceiling

    Presidents of Ukraine kept the National Institute for Strategic Studies, created by decree in 1992 to carry out analytical and forecasting research for the President and the National Security and Defence Council, through every change of president, but cut its staff ceiling from 350 posts, set by Decree 662/2010 when it took over the tasks of two liquidated security institutes, to 260 posts by Decree 120/2015 and to 234 posts by Decree 737/2019, which is in force.

  • Prognoz nauchno-tekhnologicheskogo razvitiya Rossiyskoy Federatsii na period do 2030 goda

    Russia's Ministry of Education and Science issued in December 2013 the Science and Technology Development Forecast of the Russian Federation to 2030, which states that it is one of the main documents of the strategic planning system, sets out challenges and windows of opportunity in seven priority areas, was agreed with eight federal ministries, the space agency and the Academy of Sciences, and rests on an expert base of more than 200 organisations and over 2,000 Russian and foreign experts.

  • Institut Tunisien des Études Stratégiques (ITES)

    Tunisia's Institut Tunisien des Études Stratégiques, created by Law 93-103 of 25 October 1993 as a public establishment under the Presidency with a statutory mission of short and long-term prospective analysis through scenarios, reported that it prepared 50 strategic and foresight studies for the President of the Republic in 2020 to 2024, and 90 geopolitical notes in the same period.

  • Cabinet Information and Decision Support Center (IDSC), Afaq Mostaqbaliya

    Egypt's Information and Decision Support Center, attached to the Cabinet since 1985 and naming foresight of the future in its mission, published six annual issues of Afaq Mostaqbaliya (Futuristic Prospects), a publication that foresees the main expected political, economic, social and technological trends at global, regional and local level, from January 2021 to January 2026.

  • Center for the Islamic Iranian Model of Progress (Markaz-e Olgu)

    Iran's Center for the Islamic Iranian Model of Progress, set up by decree of the Leader on 2 Khordad 1390 (May 2011), drafted a document that sets the country's desired horizon for the next five decades, which the Leader issued for review on 22 Mehr 1397 (October 2018), and reports that it analysed 5,300 critiques and proposals on that draft and received 3,803 papers over its first fourteen annual conferences.

Every delivery under anticipation