Skip to content
NCBNational Capability Benchmark
Navigate with ↑ ↓Enter to openEsc to close

Challenge the benchmark

Choose a score and give the benchmark a specific reason to reconsider it.

When you submit, the form attaches the current score and confidence for the country and capability you chose.

Submissions are public and start as awaiting review. A maintainer can add a response and signature after review.

All deliveries

Belgium, anticipation

Bureau federal du Plan

Belgium's Federal Planning Bureau, which produces the government's economic forecasts and long-term demographic, ageing, energy and transport outlooks, published 34 publications in 2025 and employed 91 full-time equivalents at the end of the year, down from 96 at the end of 2023, after it stopped replacing departing staff in 2024 to meet savings targets.

Belgiumsince 1959still operatingbears on Government foresight capacity

91 FTE, staff, full-time equivalents at 31 december, 2025-12-31. 96 FTE, staff, full-time equivalents at 31 december (earlier level, not shown to be a peak), 2023-12-31. Bureau federal du Plan, Rapport d'activite 2025, retrieved 2026-10-02.

The move, and what it needed

A statutory, de facto independent planning bureau receives mandates from government, parliament and social partners, and publishes forecasts and long-term outlooks that the federal budget and pension debates rely on; in a savings drive the government cut its grant and it stopped replacing leavers.

Preconditions

  • A statute that makes its forecasts the official basis for the budget
  • Social partners and parliament as co-principals, which protects independence
  • A core grant large enough to keep long-term modelling teams, which savings measures are now eroding

Limits: The bureau reports on itself; the 91 FTE (80 funded by the federal grant, 11 by contracts) and the hiring freeze are on PDF page 12, the 34 publications on page 19. The 96 FTE is from the 2023 activity report (https://www.plan.be/sites/default/files/documents/OTH_ACTIV_2023_FR.pdf) and the 2024 report gives 94 (https://www.plan.be/sites/default/files/documents/OTH_ACTIV_2024_FR.pdf). The record is filed as operating, not eroded: the fall is five FTE, about 5 percent, from a 2023 level that is not shown to be a peak (earlier reports were not found at the same address), and output held, with 37 publications in 2023, 45 in 2024 and 34 in 2025. The staff trend and the bureau's statement that it no longer replaces leavers to meet savings targets are a documented squeeze on capacity, and a later report showing a deeper loss would justify eroded. Most of the bureau's work is medium-term forecasting and policy costing, not scenario-based strategic foresight; its long-term population, ageing and sustainable development outlooks are the foresight part. The report says nearly 40 percent of staff will retire within ten years, which is a risk stated by the bureau, not a measured loss. The 1959 start is the Act of 23 December 1959 named on the bureau's legal basis page (https://www.plan.be/en/about-us/legal-basis).

This record describes what Belgium delivered. It is linked to Government foresight capacity because no comparable dataset measures that capability. It does not affect the score or confidence.

More from Belgium

8 other deliveries from this country.

  • Chômage temporaire corona, 2020

    Belgium's National Employment Office treated every COVID-19 work stoppage as temporary unemployment for force majeure and paid allowances to 939,532 workers for March 2020 and 1,117,133 for April, when 1,221,412 workers, 35.3 percent of private and contractual employees, were declared temporarily unemployed; almost 1.4 million received at least one payment during 2020.

  • De Kade prison in Antwerp, a federal DBFM contract

    Belgium's federal Buildings Agency had the new 440-place prison de Kade in Antwerp, part of the federal prisons masterplan, designed, built and financed by the consortium Hortus Conclusus under a DBFM contract, with works from 2023 to 2026 at a construction cost of EUR 195.5 million and an annual availability fee of EUR 23.1 million for 25 years of maintenance, after which the prison returns to the federal state free of charge.

  • Federal strategic stock of protective masks, and its dismantling

    The Federal Public Service Public Health held a strategic stock of masks for pandemic influenza in military warehouses in Namur from 2006, sized at 32 million surgical masks when the Bioethics Committee reviewed the pandemic plan in 2009. It destroyed the expired masks in operations in late 2015 and late 2018 without replacing them, so Belgium entered the COVID-19 crisis in early 2020 with no strategic mask stock.

  • BE-Alert

    The National Crisis Centre of the Federal Public Service Interior has run BE-Alert, the national system that lets municipalities and provinces alert the population by SMS, including location-based SMS, and information screens, since 2017. By 1 September 2025, 537 of 565 municipalities, covering 95 percent of Belgian territory, were affiliated, 1,369,659 citizen addresses were registered, and the system had been used 273 times in 2025.

  • Brussels regional express rail network (GEN/RER) infrastructure works, and their stall

    Belgium's federal state and three regions agreed in 2001 to fund the infrastructure for a regional express rail network around Brussels through the RER Fund, with every work due by the end of 2012. The Court of Audit told the Chamber in February 2017 that the cost of the works charged to the fund had risen by more than 27 percent over 2001 to 2016, that all but one project ran six to 17.5 years late, that the works were largely at a standstill and that full four-tracking of lines 124 and 161 had been postponed with no date.

  • BRUGEL derogation framework for innovative energy projects (projets innovants)

    BRUGEL, the Brussels-Capital energy regulator, granted derogations from market and tariff rules to energy-sharing pilot projects under article 90 of the Brussels electricity ordinance as amended on 23 July 2018, and states that six such pilot projects started from 2020 until the derogation framework ended when the ordinance of 17 March 2022 entered into force.

  • Automated voting, and its withdrawal from Wallonia

    Belgium extended electronic voting after a 1991 trial in two cantons until 44 percent of the electorate voted on machines in 1999, when 22 percent of polling stations in Wallonia were equipped; the Walloon Parliament abolished automated voting for French-speaking communes by a decree of 9 March 2017, the Constitutional Court rejected a challenge in September 2018, and the FPS Interior now lists the 252 communes in Wallonia as voting on paper while 152 Flemish, all 19 Brussels and the nine German-speaking communes vote electronically.

  • Wallonia's pôles de compétitivité

    The Walloon government labelled 266 collaborative research, development and innovation projects through its six pôles de compétitivité over 24 calls from 2006 to June 2018, each needing at least two firms and two distinct research actors, with forecast budgets of 930 million euros, and 126 of those projects had been completed with final payment by early 2019.

Every delivery from Belgium

The same indicator elsewhere

35 deliveries linked to Government foresight capacity in other countries.

  • Embrapa, a fifty-year bet on tropical agriculture

    Brazil created a public agricultural research corporation in 1973 to make acidic tropical soils productive, kept it funded across every change of government since, and cereal production rose from 46.5 million tonnes in 2000 to 155.9 million in 2023.

  • The Delta Programme and its fund

    The Netherlands legislated a standing programme against flooding and fresh-water shortage, run by an independent Delta Commissioner and paid from a dedicated Delta Fund that expects 27.4 billion euros to be available through 2050.

  • CGEE, the strategic studies center

    Created in 2001, the Centro de Gestão e Estudos Estratégicos was designed to produce prospective studies and long-term recommendations for Brazilian science, technology and innovation policy, with 273 researchers and specialists signing its creation record.

  • Centre for Strategic Futures, foresight inside government

    Singapore established the Centre for Strategic Futures in 2009 inside the Prime Minister's Office strategy system to study blind spots, run long-term futures research and develop foresight methods.

  • Legally binding carbon budgets

    The United Kingdom's 2008 Climate Change Act made five-year emissions budgets a standing legal cycle set twelve years ahead, and by July 2026 seven budgets covered 2008 through 2042 while the first three had been met.

  • Fukushima decommissioning roadmap, a 30–40-year risk-reduction horizon

    After the 2011 Fukushima Daiichi accident, Japan adopted a government-led mid-and-long-term decommissioning roadmap and set completion at roughly 30–40 years after cold shutdown, treating the work as continuous risk reduction rather than a one-off rebuild.

  • PLANAPP and REPLAN, a centre-of-government foresight network

    Portugal's PLANAPP operates as a Centre of Government body for evidence-based foresight, planning, monitoring, evaluation and impact analysis; its REPLAN network lists five multisectoral team remits and held its inaugural meeting on 23 November 2022.

  • Labour Market Intelligence Programme and forward skills planning

    South Africa's Department of Higher Education and Training ran a Labour Market Intelligence Programme from 2012, published the fifth iteration of its national occupations-in-high-demand list by April 2024, and identified 138 occupations for the emerging hydrogen-economy value chain.

  • Government Report on the Future and the parliamentary Committee for the Future

    Every Finnish government since 1993 has submitted a Report on the Future to Parliament, answered by a standing Committee for the Future; Part I of the Orpo government's report, a 20-year scenario process prepared jointly by all ministries and informed by 40 dialogues on Finland's future, was submitted on 18 September 2025.

  • Foresight Centre at the Riigikogu (Arenguseire Keskus)

    Estonia's parliament set up a statutory Foresight Centre within the Chancellery of the Riigikogu under the Foresight Act of 2016. In 2025 the centre published four research-direction reports and 17 short reports, drawing on more than 30 researchers and experts.

  • Office of Technology Assessment, defunded and closed in 1995

    Congress gave the Office of Technology Assessment, created under the Technology Assessment Act of 1972, the statutory function to provide early indications of the probable impacts of technology; it appropriated $21,970,000 for the office with a cap of 143 staff for fiscal year 1995, then appropriated $3,615,000 for fiscal year 1996 to carry out its orderly closure, with no more than 17 employees paid except for severance.

  • Rządowe Centrum Studiów Strategicznych, liquidated in 2006

    Poland's Government Centre for Strategic Studies, attached to the Prime Minister, with tasks of strategic programming and forecasting of economic and social development set in article 14k of the Act of 8 August 1996 on the Council of Ministers, was liquidated as of 31 March 2006 by the Act of 17 February 2006, in the year its budget had been planned at PLN 10,016 thousand.

  • Office of Technology Assessment at the German Bundestag (TAB)

    Since 1990 the German Bundestag has kept an Office of Technology Assessment, run under contract by the Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, whose tasks include horizon scanning of scientific and technological trends at early stages; by 2026 it reported more than 200 projects and over 400 publications.

  • National Assembly Futures Institute

    Korea's National Assembly enacted the National Assembly Future Institute Act on 12 December 2017 and opened the institute on 28 May 2018 with a statutory duty to predict and analyse changes in the future environment and derive mid to long term national development strategies; its English-language research report archive listed 203 reports in 2026.

  • Federal Chancellery situation and environment analysis (Perspektivstab)

    Switzerland's Federal Chancellery runs a long-term, continuous situation and environment analysis for the Federal Council that looks 10 to 15 years ahead; it produced Herausforderungen in 2007 with expertise from 30 federal offices, Perspektiven 2025 in 2011, Perspektiven 2030 in 2014, the Schweiz 2030 and Schweiz 2035 reports and the scenario report Perspektiven Schweiz 2040, which feed the Federal Council's legislature planning.

  • Senate foresight delegation (Délégation sénatoriale à la prospective)

    The Bureau of the French Senate created a foresight delegation in April 2009, succeeding the planning delegation set up by the 1982 planning reform law, with a mandate to study changes in society and the economy and to build scenarios; it has 36 senators appointed in proportion to the political groups and adopted reports in every year from 2010 to 2022 listed on its page.

  • Senate Commission on Future Challenges, Science, Technology and Innovation

    Chile's Senate created the Commission on Future Challenges, Science, Technology and Innovation in April 2012, modelled on Finland's Committee for the Future, with the Academy of Sciences, National Prize winners and university rectors as permanent members; by July 2024 more than 700 scientists had worked in more than 20 of its expert tables.

  • Policy Horizons Canada, the federal foresight unit, and its 2024 disruption scan

    Policy Horizons Canada, which describes itself as the Government of Canada's centre of excellence in foresight and reports through the Deputy Minister of Employment and Social Development Canada, published Disruptions on the Horizon 2024, which identified and assessed 35 possible disruptions using survey input from around 500 stakeholders, colleagues and foresight experts across the Government of Canada and beyond.

  • Framtidskommissionen, the Prime Minister's time-limited future commission

    The Swedish government appointed Framtidskommissionen, chaired by Prime Minister Fredrik Reinfeldt, in November 2011 to identify the societal challenges Sweden faces in the longer term, and by its final report in March 2013 it had held eight meetings, organised 40 open meetings, seminars and workshops, published twelve background reports and an anthology, and carried out four sub-inquiries.

  • National Planning Commission foresight work for Malawi 2063

    Malawi's National Planning Commission, which signed a UNDP initiation plan in November 2020 to create a foresight unit and horizon scanning capability, reported for 2022/23 that it produced a foresight modelling report with modelled scenarios for the Malawi 2063 vision, policy briefs on three of the vision's pillars with UNDP and the finance ministry, and foresight modelling training for planners from ministries and academia.

  • Bureau National de la Prospective et de la Veille Stratégique and the national prospective studies

    Côte d'Ivoire's Ministry of Planning and Development completed its fourth national prospective study, Côte d'Ivoire 2040, under the technical responsibility of the Bureau National de la Prospective et de la Veille Stratégique, after earlier national studies in 1973 to 1974, 1983 to 1984 and 1993 to 1995, and built eighteen thematic and three global scenarios to the 2040 horizon.

  • Teknologiraadet, the Norwegian Board of Technology

    Norway's Board of Technology, an independent public advisory body created in 1999 on the Storting's initiative that also serves as secretariat for the Storting's technology group, delivered eight publications and held eleven meetings, four of them for the Storting's technology group, in 2025 on operating income of NOK 13.8 million.

  • Teknologiraadet, the Danish Board of Technology, abolished in 2012

    Denmark's parliament abolished the statutory Board of Technology, set up by Act no. 375 of 14 June 1995 to assess technology and report to the Folketing, by Act no. 559 of 18 June 2012, after an all-party budget agreement of 15 November 2011 withdrew its annual grant, which had been DKK 10.5 million in 2011, to fund the research reserve.

  • Special Secretariat of Foresight (now of Long-term Planning)

    Greece's Special Secretariat of Foresight published its Megatrends 2040 report and seven megatrend notes in February and March 2022 and then six further foresight studies to September 2026, including Generative AI Greece 2030 (January 2024), The Future of Work and Skills in Greece (February 2025) and Mediterranean Foresight (September 2026).

  • STRATA foresight for the Lietuva 2050 state progress strategy

    Lithuania's Government Strategic Analysis Center (STRATA) followed six thematic public discussions on the country's future in May and June 2022 with nine foresight studies on megatrends and scenarios by policy area, which fed the vision and strategic ambitions of the draft state progress strategy Lietuva 2050.

  • Institut Royal des Etudes Stratégiques (IRES)

    Morocco's Royal Institute for Strategic Studies, announced in the 2003 Throne Speech to strengthen the country's capacities for analysis, adaptation and anticipation and created by Dahir No 1-07-183 of 30 November 2007, published the twelfth edition of its strategic dashboard on Morocco's international positioning on 28 November 2024 and was still issuing general reports in 2025.

  • Long-term Insights Briefings under the Public Service Act 2020

    New Zealand's Public Service Act 2020 required every departmental chief executive to publish a Long-term Insights Briefing on future trends, risks and opportunities at least once every three years, and nineteen were published in the first round, which concluded in mid-2023, four of them produced jointly by several agencies.

  • Foresight und Technikfolgenabschätzung für das österreichische Parlament

    Austria's parliament has bought external foresight and technology assessment since July 2017, after the Presidial Conference agreed unanimously in October 2016 to provide EUR 200,000 a year; the service delivers a half-yearly monitoring of future topics, survived a Europe-wide re-tender in 2022, and parliament commissioned six studies from it between 2019 and 2026.

  • Latvija 2050 long-term scenario framework for the State Chancellery

    Latvia's State Chancellery commissioned the University of Latvia under contract 2024/065 of 5 November 2024 to build the analytical framework for the Latvija 2050 strategy; the study, delivered in 2026, set out three macroeconomic development scenarios to 2050 and drew on a Kantar survey in December 2024 and expert focus groups in four regions in September and October 2025.

  • Natsionalnyi instytut stratehichnykh doslidzhen, and its falling staff ceiling

    Presidents of Ukraine kept the National Institute for Strategic Studies, created by decree in 1992 to carry out analytical and forecasting research for the President and the National Security and Defence Council, through every change of president, but cut its staff ceiling from 350 posts, set by Decree 662/2010 when it took over the tasks of two liquidated security institutes, to 260 posts by Decree 120/2015 and to 234 posts by Decree 737/2019, which is in force.

  • Prognoz nauchno-tekhnologicheskogo razvitiya Rossiyskoy Federatsii na period do 2030 goda

    Russia's Ministry of Education and Science issued in December 2013 the Science and Technology Development Forecast of the Russian Federation to 2030, which states that it is one of the main documents of the strategic planning system, sets out challenges and windows of opportunity in seven priority areas, was agreed with eight federal ministries, the space agency and the Academy of Sciences, and rests on an expert base of more than 200 organisations and over 2,000 Russian and foreign experts.

  • Agency for Strategic Planning, merged into a ministry in 2002

    Kazakhstan's President created an Agency for Strategic Planning directly subordinate to him by Decree No. 3377 of 4 March 1997; parliament appropriated KZT 29,040 thousand to it for 2002, including a programme to monitor geopolitical and geo-economic processes and assess their effect on the country's development prospects, and Decree No. 931 of 28 August 2002 then merged the agency into the Ministry of Economy and Budget Planning.

  • Institut Tunisien des Études Stratégiques (ITES)

    Tunisia's Institut Tunisien des Études Stratégiques, created by Law 93-103 of 25 October 1993 as a public establishment under the Presidency with a statutory mission of short and long-term prospective analysis through scenarios, reported that it prepared 50 strategic and foresight studies for the President of the Republic in 2020 to 2024, and 90 geopolitical notes in the same period.

  • Cabinet Information and Decision Support Center (IDSC), Afaq Mostaqbaliya

    Egypt's Information and Decision Support Center, attached to the Cabinet since 1985 and naming foresight of the future in its mission, published six annual issues of Afaq Mostaqbaliya (Futuristic Prospects), a publication that foresees the main expected political, economic, social and technological trends at global, regional and local level, from January 2021 to January 2026.

  • Center for the Islamic Iranian Model of Progress (Markaz-e Olgu)

    Iran's Center for the Islamic Iranian Model of Progress, set up by decree of the Leader on 2 Khordad 1390 (May 2011), drafted a document that sets the country's desired horizon for the next five decades, which the Leader issued for review on 22 Mehr 1397 (October 2018), and reports that it analysed 5,300 critiques and proposals on that draft and received 3,803 papers over its first fourteen annual conferences.

Every delivery under anticipation