The registry
The registry keeps every indicator
69 indicators are listed here. 35 have data. Gaps and retired rows remain visible because they affect confidence and the collection agenda.
Every indicator is listed, including the missing ones
69 indicators: 26 gaps and 8 retired. Both lower confidence and shape the collection agenda. Click a heading to sort.
- Cdirect capability measure Measures the thing itself.
- Icapability input Measures something that supports the capability.
- Odownstream outcome Measures a result that usually follows from the capability.
- Pperception proxy Records what people or experts say, not what they did.
Anticipation
| Note | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Government foresight capacityno dataset | C | index 0-100 | higher is better | none | 0.20 | No comparable international dataset. OECD and UN work is descriptive, not scored. Envisioning would have to build this. |
| I | % of R&D | higher is better | OECD MSTI | 0.30 | Published by OECD for members only. Missing for India, South Africa, Brazil in comparable form. | |
| R&D expenditure | I | % of GDP | higher is better | World Bank | 0.50 | Money committed to looking ahead. An input: spending it does not prove the country reads the future well. |
| Researchers in R&D | I | per million people | higher is better | World Bank | 0.50 | Standing capacity to investigate. Correlates with income but survives size normalisation. |
| Scientific articles | O | articles per million people | higher is better | World Bank | 0.40 | Volume, not quality. Citation impact would be the better measure and is a declared gap. |
| Secure internet servers | I | per million people | higher is better | World Bank | 0.60 | Proxy for digital technology adoption. Spans four orders of magnitude, so it is logged before normalising. |
| Statistical performance | C | index 0-100 | higher is better | World Bank | 0.25 | A country that cannot see itself cannot anticipate. Closest available direct measure of national sensing capacity. |
Agency
| Note | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adult digital skillsno dataset | C | % of adults | higher is better | ITU | 0.40 | ITU collects this but coverage across these ten countries is broken and the task lists differ by year. |
| Credit to the private sector | I | % of GDP | higher is better | World Bank | 0.55 | Access to finance at the system level. High values can also signal a credit bubble, so it is not monotonic in capability. |
| Financial account ownership | I | % aged 15+ | higher is better | World Bank | 0.50 | Global Findex, published every three years. Precondition for almost any economic action. |
| Individuals using the internet | I | % of population | higher is better | World Bank | 0.55 | Access to the basic tool of modern agency. Saturates near 95%, which compresses the top of the range. |
| New business density | C | per 1,000 aged 15-64 | higher is better | World Bank | 0.35 | Directly observes intention turning into a registered entity. Undercounts informal activity, which matters for India and Brazil. |
| Perceived control over lifeno dataset | P | mean 1-10 | higher is better | World Values Survey | 0.20 | WVS wave 7 covers most of these countries but fieldwork years differ by up to six years, and Singapore is thin. |
| Procedures to start a business | C | count | lower is better | World Bank | 0.15 | Counts bureaucratic steps rather than money, so it does not smuggle income back in. Frozen at 2019 with Doing Business. |
| Time to start a business | C | days | lower is better | World Bank | 0.20 | Activation energy, measured directly. Series ends with Doing Business in 2019, so it is stale everywhere. |
Coordination
| Note | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Border compliance time to export | C | hours | lower is better | World Bank | 0.30 | Observable throughput of several agencies acting together. Frozen at 2019 with Doing Business. |
| Budget execution fidelity | C | percentage points from approved budget | lower is better | World Bank | 0.15 | Observable alignment between an approved public plan and what government spent. The API covers 44 of 52 countries at 2024. Values above and below 100 both indicate deviation, so the transform measures absolute distance from the approved budget rather than rewarding overspending. See D55. |
| Civil society strengthno dataset | C | index 0-1 | higher is better | V-Dem | 0.15 | V-Dem core civil society index is inspectable and would fill this. Not yet wired; it needs its own ingestion adapter. |
| Government effectivenessretired | P | z-score -2.5 to 2.5 | higher is better | World Bank | 0.60 | Retired 2026-08-26. The WGI aggregate the opinions of experts and firms, and in this set the four WGI series correlate with each other between 0.93 and 0.98 while correlating with log GDP per capita at 0.91. That is one perception of national wealth counted in three dimensions. Cross-agency delivery records are the replacement and they are a declared gap. See D23 and A4. |
| Logistics performanceretired | P | index 1-5 | higher is better | World Bank | 0.50 | Retired 2026-08-26. The LPI is a survey of international freight forwarders, so it records how a country looks to global logistics firms. A small country with a small port scores low whatever its state can organise, which is artefact A9. Container throughput and border time are observable and stay. See D23. |
| Public-private collaborationno dataset | C | index 0-100 | higher is better | none | 0.25 | No comparable dataset. PPP investment databases measure infrastructure finance, not collaboration capacity. |
| Regulatory qualityretired | P | z-score -2.5 to 2.5 | higher is better | World Bank | 0.60 | Retired 2026-08-26. Same measurement as government effectiveness, filed under a different name, correlating with it above 0.93. See D23 and A4. |
| University-industry collaborationno dataset | C | index 0-100 | higher is better | Global Innovation Index | 0.40 | GII carries it, but the underlying item is a WEF executive opinion survey whose microdata is not inspectable. Excluded on principle 4. |
Trust
| Note | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Control of corruptionretired | P | z-score -2.5 to 2.5 | higher is better | World Bank | 0.55 | Retired 2026-08-26. A WGI perception composite. It measures reputation for corruption, which is not the same thing as corruption, and it tracks income closely. Prosecution and audit records are the observable replacement and are a declared gap. See D23 and A4. |
| Cooperation beyond the in-groupno dataset | P | % expressing trust | higher is better | World Values Survey | 0.15 | The distinction that makes this dimension worth measuring. Same licensing obstacle as generalised trust. |
| Court case clearance rateno dataset | O | % of incoming cases | higher is better | CEPEJ / OECD / national court statistics | 0.20 | Whether a court finishes what it starts, counted from case records rather than asked in a survey. D23 named it as the observable replacement for the two retired WGI composites and it has stayed unfilled since. CEPEJ publishes it for Council of Europe members and OECD for its own members, so no single publisher reaches this country set, and a harmonised series needs the project second source adapter. See D57. |
| Generalised interpersonal trust | P | % agreeing | higher is better | Joint EVS/WVS | 0.25 | Share answering that most people can be trusted in the official Joint EVS/WVS 2017-2022 results table, release 5.0.0. The adapter uses the publisher-weighted country results, emits only countries with one survey row, and holds countries with separate EVS and WVS samples until the respondent-level weights can be pooled reproducibly. See D57 and D64. |
| Intentional homicide rateretired | O | per 100,000 people | lower is better | World Bank | 0.35 | Added 2026-08-26 by D23 as the observable replacement for two retired WGI perception composites, and retired 2026-08-27 by D44 when the diagnostic built in D42 measured what it was doing. It raised this dimension's correlation with log GDP per capita by 0.288, from 0.096 to 0.385, the largest single wealth contribution anywhere in the model. It was added to fix wealth contamination and it was the wealth contamination. The dataset is sound and the objection is to what it measures here: homicide is driven heavily by organised crime, a society can be physically safe while trusting very little, and across this country set the variation it carries is mostly income. Behavioural trust measures remain a gap. |
| Rule of lawretired | P | z-score -2.5 to 2.5 | higher is better | World Bank | 0.55 | Retired 2026-08-26. A WGI perception composite correlating with control of corruption above 0.95 and with log GDP per capita at 0.83. Court throughput and case clearance rates are the observable replacement and are a declared gap. See D23 and A4. |
| Time to enforce a contract | C | days | lower is better | World Bank | 0.20 | Confidence in contracts, measured as court throughput rather than opinion. Frozen at 2019. |
| Trust in public institutionsno dataset | P | % expressing confidence | higher is better | OECD Trust Survey / WVS | 0.20 | The OECD survey covers members only. Mixing it with WVS items for India and South Africa would break comparability. |
Learning
| Note | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adult learning participationno dataset | C | % of adults | higher is better | Eurostat / OECD PIAAC | 0.35 | The best available measure of continuous learning capacity, and it exists only for European and OECD members. |
| Firms offering formal training | C | % of firms | higher is better | World Bank | 0.20 | Enterprise Surveys reach middle-income countries and skip most high-income ones, so coverage here is deliberately uneven and the confidence score should show it. |
| Human Capital Index | C | index 0-1 | higher is better | World Bank | 0.50 | Uses learning-adjusted years of schooling, which is why it is preferred over raw attainment. Last full round is 2020. |
| Public education expenditure | I | % of GDP | higher is better | World Bank | 0.30 | Pure input. Included so the model can be tested for whether inputs add anything over the capability measures. |
| Research citation impactno dataset | O | ratio to world average | higher is better | OpenAlex | 0.30 | Computable from OpenAlex, which is open and inspectable. This is the highest-value gap to close next. |
| Tertiary enrolment | I | % gross | higher is better | World Bank | 0.50 | Volume of formal education. Says nothing about what is learned, which is the trap the spec warns about. |
| I | % of secondary | higher is better | World Bank | 0.10 | Higher is not unambiguously better. It marks a route into skilled work that does not run through university. |
Experimentation
| Note | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I | % of R&D | higher is better | UNESCO UIS | 0.40 | UIS publishes this and it is a good candidate for the next ingestion adapter. | |
| Early-stage entrepreneurial activity | C | % aged 18-64 | higher is better | Global Entrepreneurship Monitor | 0.15 | From the GEM Adult Population Survey, entered by hand because GEM has no open API. TEA counts every new business, so necessity self-employment scores the same as a funded startup, which is why Chile and Argentina sit above the United States here. Read it as how many people are trying, not as how much value the attempts create. GEM does not run every economy every year: Singapore last took part in 2014 and the recency term marks that value down hard. |
| Regulatory sandbox activityno dataset | C | count | higher is better | none | 0.10 | Countable from primary sources but nobody maintains a comparable register. A realistic candidate for Envisioning to build. |
| Resident patent applications | O | per million people | higher is better | World Bank | 0.45 | Records completed experiments that reached the filing stage. Korea and the US file for strategic reasons unrelated to novelty. |
| Resident trademark applications | O | per million people | higher is better | World Bank | 0.30 | Cheaper and more frequent than patents, so it tracks the many-small-experiments idea better than patent counts do. |
| Tolerance of entrepreneurial failure | P | % not deterred | higher is better | Global Entrepreneurship Monitor | 0.10 | Stored as 100 minus the published GEM fear of failure rate, so the direction matches the rest of the registry. GEM measures that rate among adults who already see good opportunities, not among all adults, so the denominator differs from the label. Attitudinal: bankruptcy law and time to discharge would be the observable substitute and are still worth wiring beside it. |
| University spinoutsno dataset | C | per million people | higher is better | national TTO associations | 0.35 | Reported nationally with incompatible definitions of what counts as a spinout. |
| Venture capital investmentno dataset | C | % of GDP | higher is better | OECD / national VC associations | 0.60 | Still a gap after a direct check on 2026-08-26. The OECD SME and Entrepreneurship Financing scoreboard is the only inspectable aggregate and it carries venture capital for 6 of these 16 countries, in national currency rather than as a share of GDP, latest year 2022. Brazil, India, South Africa and Singapore are all absent, so wiring it would score the rich half of the set and lower coverage for the rest. Commercial databases cover the world and are not inspectable. Read A1 before treating this dimension as measured. |
Adaptability
| Note | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Disaster preparedness and recoveryno dataset | C | index 0-100 | higher is better | INFORM / UNDRR | 0.30 | INFORM is largely a hazard-exposure index, so using it here would measure geography rather than capability. |
| Electricity transmission losses | O | % of output | lower is better | World Bank | 0.40 | Hard evidence of infrastructure condition and of whether the operator can bill what it delivers. |
| Export diversificationno dataset | C | index 0-1 | higher is better | UNCTAD | 0.30 | UNCTAD publishes the concentration index and it is computable. Another good candidate for the next adapter. |
| Fixed broadband subscriptions | I | per 100 people | higher is better | World Bank | 0.60 | Infrastructure that lets a country change how it works. Penalises mobile-first countries such as India and South Africa. |
| Institutional responsivenessno dataset | C | index 0-100 | higher is better | none | 0.15 | No dataset exists. Measurable in principle from legislative and regulatory timestamps, which no one has assembled comparably. |
| Labour force participation | I | % aged 15+ | higher is better | World Bank | 0.15 | How much of the population can be reallocated at all. Cultural participation norms confound it, especially for India. |
| O | % of unemployed | lower is better | ILOSTAT | 0.20 | Closer to reallocation speed than the headline rate: it asks whether people who lose work find new work. ILOSTAT publishes it; the World Bank API does not carry it. | |
| Unemployment rate | O | % of labour force | lower is better | World Bank | 0.25 | An outcome, and a blunt one. Low unemployment can mean a rigid labour market as easily as a fluid one. |
Building
| Note | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economic fitness | O | index | higher is better | World Bank | 0.45 | World Bank Economic Fitness, a diversity-and-ubiquity measure of the export basket built on the same idea as economic complexity. Method is published, inputs are UN Comtrade. |
| Electricity connection speed | C | score 0-100 | higher is better | World Bank | 0.25 | Small-scale infrastructure delivery, measured end to end. The World Bank publishes only the rescaled score, not the raw days. Frozen at 2019. |
| Firm scale-up rateno dataset | C | % of firms | higher is better | OECD DynEmp | 0.40 | OECD business dynamics work covers members irregularly. Nothing comparable for India, Brazil or South Africa. |
| O | % of manufactured exports | higher is better | World Bank | 0.40 | Sophistication of what gets built. Assembly-heavy economies score high without owning the design. | |
| Large project deliveryno dataset | C | % overrun | lower is better | none | 0.20 | The single best measure of execution capability and there is no comparable international dataset. Assembling one is a defensible Envisioning project. Building mixes industrial output with state delivery capacity, and this indicator carries the delivery side: the other six indicators cannot see a national programme that was delivered. Documented deliveries are recorded in data/evidence and never scored, see D20. |
| Logistics infrastructure qualityretired | P | index 1-5 | higher is better | World Bank | 0.50 | Retired 2026-08-26. An LPI sub-index, so the same freight-forwarder survey as logistics performance and the same problem. Electricity connection speed stays as the observable infrastructure measure in this dimension. See D23. |
| Manufacturing value added | O | % of GDP | higher is better | World Bank | 0.20 | Evidence that the country still makes physical things at scale. Penalises service-heavy high-capability economies such as the Netherlands. |
| Output per worker | O | constant 2021 PPP $ | higher is better | World Bank | 0.90 | The most wealth-contaminated indicator in the registry. Kept deliberately so the GDP-sensitivity test has something to bite on. |
Shared Purpose
| Note | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Civic participationno dataset | C | % of adults | higher is better | World Values Survey | 0.10 | Behavioural rather than attitudinal, so it is the item worth prioritising if only one survey measure can be harmonised. |
| Income inequality | O | Gini 0-100 | lower is better | World Bank | 0.20 | Included as a structural constraint on seeing yourself in a common project, not as a value judgement. Contested and worth challenging. |
| Political polarisationno dataset | P | index 0-4 | lower is better | V-Dem | 0.05 | V-Dem political polarisation is inspectable and would fill this. Pluralism is the target, so only hostile polarisation should count against a country. |
| Sense of national belongingno dataset | P | % expressing belonging | higher is better | World Values Survey | 0.05 | Culturally loaded. High national pride is not the same as capacity for collective action and must not be read as such. |
| Tax revenue | O | % of GDP | higher is better | World Bank | 0.30 | Revealed willingness to fund public goods, confounded by federal structure and by resource revenue. Treat with suspicion. |
| Voice and accountabilityretired | P | z-score -2.5 to 2.5 | higher is better | World Bank | 0.35 | Retired 2026-08-26. Artefact A5: it measures the democratic channel while Shared Purpose asks whether people can see themselves in a common project. Singapore scored 20.9 while being one of the most effective collective actors in the set. Voter turnout, volunteering and civic participation are the observable replacements and all are declared gaps. See D23 and A5. |
| Volunteeringno dataset | C | % of adults | higher is better | Gallup World Poll / CAF | 0.10 | CAF publishes country figures but the underlying Gallup microdata is proprietary, so it fails the inspectability rule. |