Prognoz nauchno-tekhnologicheskogo razvitiya Rossiyskoy Federatsii na period do 2030 goda
Russia's Ministry of Education and Science issued in December 2013 the Science and Technology Development Forecast of the Russian Federation to 2030, which states that it is one of the main documents of the strategic planning system, sets out challenges and windows of opportunity in seven priority areas, was agreed with eight federal ministries, the space agency and the Academy of Sciences, and rests on an expert base of more than 200 organisations and over 2,000 Russian and foreign experts.
2,000 experts, experts in the expert base of the science and technology development forecast to 2030 (stated as over 2,000), 2013-12 (forecast horizon 2030). 200 organisations, organisations in the expert base of the forecast (stated as more than 200), 2013-12. Government of the Russian Federation, government.ru, Prognoz nauchno-tekhnologicheskogo razvitiya Rossiyskoy Federatsii na period do 2030 goda (Ministry of Education and Science, December 2013, No. DM-P8-5), introduction, page 2, retrieved 2026-10-17.
The move, and what it needed
The Ministry of Education and Science assembled a long-term science and technology forecast from a network of university forecasting centres, academy institutes and research centres, had it agreed by the economic and sector ministries, and placed it in the strategic planning system as the common base for long-term strategies and programmes.
Preconditions
- A presidential instruction, Decree 596 of 7 May 2012, to build a national technology forecasting system
- A university research institute and sector centres able to run large expert consultations for the ministry
- Ministries willing to sign off on a shared list of priority areas before writing their own strategies
Limits: The PDF is a scan with no text layer, so both figures were read from the image of page 2, and both are lower bounds the document reports about itself (more than 200 organisations, over 2,000 experts) with no list behind them. The figures measure participation in one forecast, not a standing function: the record shows a delivery, not continuity. The 2014 Federal Law on strategic planning (172-FZ) puts the science and technology forecast on a six-year revision cycle, and this record does not establish whether a successor to the 2030 forecast was approved on that cycle. The cover gives December 2013 and the number DM-P8-5 but no approval text, so the record does not date a formal approval. The document lists the Higher School of Economics, the Centre for Macroeconomic Analysis and Short-term Forecasting, academy institutes and university sector forecasting centres among the organisations whose material it used, so much of the work was contracted out of government. Priority areas and consultation say nothing about whether any ministry used the forecast in a decision.